Biden’s mental state is a huge worry. Honestly, I’d rather a candidate other than Trump too because of his age, but we rarely get what we want in life. DJT seems to be the one president in my lifetime who didn’t look significantly aged after his presidential term, at least . But then again, the stress he’s under now with all the lawfare would also bring most people to their knees and he seems to be handling it. But at some point his body will refuse to handle the high stress anymore. Can we please get the Boomers to retire already?
In a nightmare, A dark vision, the original Joe is in a freezer, saved for DNA samples if needed, and body doubles with Joe masks fill the Residency for ever.
“The Social Security Administration actuarial predictions show that a male born in 1942, like Biden, can expect to live another 8.1 years on average. Katia Iervasi, a lead writer and spokesperson at NerdWallet, crunched CDC mortality numbers to show that an 80-year-old man has a 31.35% chance of dying within 5 years.”
Either I’m not getting something, or there is something wrong with this. Does the Social Security Administration really claim that a man born in 1942 can expect to live until the age of 88 or 89? This struck me as puzzling by itself, but the CDC numbers quoted next also seem to contradict it.
There's a difference between looking the average age of a person born in a certain year, versus looking at the the average time to live after reaching a certain age.
A man born then was expected to live an average of over 71 years old. But if he's still kicking, he's obviously beating the averages and you can't say he's predicted to be already dead.
The Social Security calculator shows the average number of ADDITIONAL years a person can expect to live, based on age and sex.
And that meshes pretty well with the CDC numbers. If average = 8ish years, about a third will die by year five, about two-thirds will die within 10, and a third will live beyond 10.
Yes, I understand your point. I remember learning a couple of years ago, when looking up average life spans for American men, that what one always hears in the media, that American men live to be an average of 76 (or whatever it said when I looked it up) is a bit misleading when one takes into account infant mortality, deaths in childhood, etcetera. What I found—I believe I was looking at Census Bureau data—was that if you make it to 65, the average lifespan for American men is 82. Well, that is quite different! So apparently what you’re saying is that if you were born in 1942, and you’ve made it to 81, you’ve got a good chance of lasting eight or nine years more, which frankly still surprises me. Also, although I’m no doctor, looking at Biden these days, I wouldn’t place any bets on his making it that long.
I'd like to see younger people in the race too, but Republicans had plenty of options and they stuck with Trump. Democrats had fewer options, but they stuck with Biden. So at some point we have to move beyond "they're too old" -- true as it is -- and talk about which one would be a better president.
As for the larger question about gerontocracy, I'm not wise enough to know if this is a demographic situation that will resolve itself over time or a long-term problem that calls for structural changes. But that's a different conversation.
Biden’s mental state is a huge worry. Honestly, I’d rather a candidate other than Trump too because of his age, but we rarely get what we want in life. DJT seems to be the one president in my lifetime who didn’t look significantly aged after his presidential term, at least . But then again, the stress he’s under now with all the lawfare would also bring most people to their knees and he seems to be handling it. But at some point his body will refuse to handle the high stress anymore. Can we please get the Boomers to retire already?
In a nightmare, A dark vision, the original Joe is in a freezer, saved for DNA samples if needed, and body doubles with Joe masks fill the Residency for ever.
Which is worse ... That scenario? Or President Kamala?
You wrote:
“The Social Security Administration actuarial predictions show that a male born in 1942, like Biden, can expect to live another 8.1 years on average. Katia Iervasi, a lead writer and spokesperson at NerdWallet, crunched CDC mortality numbers to show that an 80-year-old man has a 31.35% chance of dying within 5 years.”
Either I’m not getting something, or there is something wrong with this. Does the Social Security Administration really claim that a man born in 1942 can expect to live until the age of 88 or 89? This struck me as puzzling by itself, but the CDC numbers quoted next also seem to contradict it.
There's a difference between looking the average age of a person born in a certain year, versus looking at the the average time to live after reaching a certain age.
A man born then was expected to live an average of over 71 years old. But if he's still kicking, he's obviously beating the averages and you can't say he's predicted to be already dead.
The Social Security calculator shows the average number of ADDITIONAL years a person can expect to live, based on age and sex.
And that meshes pretty well with the CDC numbers. If average = 8ish years, about a third will die by year five, about two-thirds will die within 10, and a third will live beyond 10.
https://www.ssa.gov/OACT/population/longevity.html
Yes, I understand your point. I remember learning a couple of years ago, when looking up average life spans for American men, that what one always hears in the media, that American men live to be an average of 76 (or whatever it said when I looked it up) is a bit misleading when one takes into account infant mortality, deaths in childhood, etcetera. What I found—I believe I was looking at Census Bureau data—was that if you make it to 65, the average lifespan for American men is 82. Well, that is quite different! So apparently what you’re saying is that if you were born in 1942, and you’ve made it to 81, you’ve got a good chance of lasting eight or nine years more, which frankly still surprises me. Also, although I’m no doctor, looking at Biden these days, I wouldn’t place any bets on his making it that long.
I'd like to see younger people in the race too, but Republicans had plenty of options and they stuck with Trump. Democrats had fewer options, but they stuck with Biden. So at some point we have to move beyond "they're too old" -- true as it is -- and talk about which one would be a better president.
As for the larger question about gerontocracy, I'm not wise enough to know if this is a demographic situation that will resolve itself over time or a long-term problem that calls for structural changes. But that's a different conversation.
I worry about this Mental state.
Thats the big issue & his SOTU High speech made etc
Look at videos since Swearing in to date see the changes.